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Validation of Agent-Based Models in Economics and Finance

Chapter
Publication Date:
2019
Abstract:
Since the survey by Windrum et al. (Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 10:8, 2007), research on empirical validation of agent-based models in economics has made substantial advances, thanks to a constant flow of high-quality contributions. This Chapter attempts to take stock of such recent literature to offer an updated critical review of the existing validation techniques. We sketch a simple theoretical framework that conceptualizes existing validation approaches, which we examine along three different dimensions: (i) comparison between artificial and real-world data; (ii) calibration and estimation of model parameters; and (iii) parameter space exploration. Finally, we discuss open issues in the field of ABM validation and estimation. In particular, we argue that more research efforts should be devoted toward advancing hypothesis testing in ABM, with specific emphasis on model stationarity and ergodicity.
CRIS type:
2.1 Contributo in volume (Capitolo o Saggio)
Keywords:
agent based models; validation; calibration; sensitivity analysis; parameter space exploration
List of contributors:
Fagiolo, Giorgio; Guerini, Mattia; Lamperti, Francesco; Moneta, Alessio; Roventini, Andrea
Authors of the University:
GUERINI Mattia
Handle:
https://iris.unibs.it/handle/11379/537348
Book title:
Computer Simulation Validation. Simulation Foundations, Methods and Applications.
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